BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Alfred St

Class: 3 Class Rank: 247 Conference: Eastern Collegiate Football Conference Record: (1-5) Overall: (1-9) Overall Strength =   24.21

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2018 Home    L    24.15  21  49    3 186 (  5-  5) UMass-Dartmouth        -0.06    -27.94                      
  2 09/08/2018 Away    L    17.69  24  49    3 223 (  2-  8) Hartwick               -6.52    -18.48                      
  3 09/15/2018 Home    L    41.54  14  20    3 217 (  1-  9) Rochester              17.32    -23.32                      
  4 09/22/2018 Away    L    11.53   7  43    3 212 (  5-  5) Nichols               -12.68    -23.32                      
  5 09/29/2018 Away    L *  28.67  26  44    3 216 (  5-  5) Dean                    4.45    -22.45                      
  6 10/06/2018 Home    L *  19.07  14  55    3 138 (  7-  4) SUNY-Maritime          -5.14 *  -35.86                      
  7 10/13/2018 Home    L *  29.36  14  56    3 112 (  8-  3) Husson                  5.15 *  -47.15                      
  8 10/27/2018 Away    L *  25.65   9  13    3 243 (  3-  5) Gallaudet               1.44     -5.44                      
  9 11/03/2018 Home    W *  27.86  30  28    3 246 (  1-  9) Anna Maria              3.64     -1.64                      
 10 11/10/2018 Away    L *  16.62   3  21    3 235 (  2-  8) Castleton              -7.60    -10.40                      
      Averages              24.21  16.2 37.8

Best game:   41.54 = 6 point loss to Rochester
Worst game:  11.53 = 36 point loss to Nichols
Team stdev:   8.49